Weekly Economic Commentary

Central Bank Check-In | Weekly Economic Commentary | July 15, 2019

KEY TAKEAWAYS Recent Fed commentary reinforces the chance of a July rate cut. Trade tensions and political pressures are forcing global central banks to loosen monetary policy Easing policy may provide a short-term boost, but the global economy needs trade resolution....

Job Market Stands Strong | Weekly Economic Commentary | July 8, 2019

KEY TAKEAWAYS The June jobs report was unexpectedly strong, especially after a disappointing May Labor market strength could buoy otherwise moderate economic prospects. However, the resilient job market could complicate the Fed’s policy debate. Click here to download...

Moderate Growth Ahead | Weekly Economic Commentary | July 1, 2019

KEY TAKEAWAYS Fundamentals continue to support steady but moderate economic growth. Even if growth slows, the U.S. job market continues to be a bright spot. Productivity growth is the key to sustaining a virtuous cycle. Progress on trade is central to our growth...

Setting The Stage | Weekly Economic Commentary | June 17, 2019

KEY TAKEAWAYS The Federal Reserve is scheduled to announce its next policy decision June 19. We think a language change is more likely than a policy change at this meeting. Economic fundamentals are still sound, but the Fed must address plans to mitigate trade risk....

A Record-Long Expansion | Weekly Economic Commentary | June 10, 2019

KEY TAKEAWAYS This economic expansion is now one of the longest on record. Trade tensions have threatened growth, but economic data still appear sound. If the trade dispute continues, the Fed could be forced to intervene. Click here to download a PDF of this report....