Outlook

Bulls Are on Trial | Weekly Market Commentary | May 12, 2025

Bulls Are on Trial | Weekly Market Commentary | May 12, 2025

Earnings continued to come in better-than feared, but “tariff uncertainty” continued to get flagged on most conference calls. The Federal Reserve (Fed) kept rates unchanged and stuck to its patient approach with monetary policy, despite notable downgrades to economic growth estimates and rising recession probabilities since their last meeting.

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Decent Chance Stock Market Bottom Is in but Far From Certain | Weekly Market Commentary | April 14, 2025

Decent Chance Stock Market Bottom Is in but Far From Certain | Weekly Market Commentary | April 14, 2025

This week was one of the most volatile weeks in the history of the stock market. That excludes the historic two-day decline on Thursday and Friday the week before (April 3–4). The S&P 500 dropped 1.6% on Tuesday, April 8, surged 9.5% on Wednesday, April 9 (the third biggest up day since 1950), fell 3.5% on Thursday, April 10, and jumped 1.8% on Friday, April 11. The S&P 500 ended up nearly 6% for the week.

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